Economic research and trade policy analysis
Introduction
Partout dans le monde les gouvernements interviennent activement et ouvertement dans les économies pour transformer lorientation la structure et la compétitivité de branches de production de secteurs ou de technologies spécifiques. Ces interventions peuvent avoir des effets à la fois positifs et négatifs dans léconomie mondiale hyper connectée daujourdhui. La coopération et les règles internationales sont nécessaires pour faire en sorte que les politiques gouvernementales telles que les initiatives nationales visant à stimuler linnovation et la technologie encouragent lexpansion et léchange de connaissances plutôt quelles ne promeuvent le progrès technologique de certaines économies aux dépens des autres. Le Rapport sur le commerce mondial 2020 examine le rôle des politiques en matière dinnovation et des politiques industrielles dans une économie mondiale de plus en plus numérisée et explique le rôle de lOrganisation mondiale du commerce dans ce contexte en mutation.
Jordan
This chapter explores how non-state actors (NSAs) seek to influence government policy in relation to the World Trade Organization (WTO) and preferential trade agreements (PTAs) as alternative venues for international trade cooperation. Little research has been done on NSA–government interaction on trade policy development in Jordan and almost no analysis exists that captures and contrasts this interaction in relation to multilateral as opposed to bilateral or plurilateral negotiations. This chapter based on interviews with representatives of government and NSAs focuses on recent developments in Jordan’s trade policy-making. It has found that NSA activity in Jordan is relatively weakly developed compared with the other cases in this study but that it is growing in large part as a result of the influence of international actors including US foreign aid donors and some other international business and civil society organizations (CSOs).
Acknowledgements and Disclaimer
The World Trade Report 2019 was prepared under the general responsibility of Xiaozhun Yi WTO Deputy Director-General and Robert Koopman Director of the WTO Economic Research and Statistics Division. The Report was coordinated by Emmanuelle Ganne and Stela Rubínová (Economic Research and Statistics Division) and by Antonia Carzaniga (Trade in Services and Investment Division). The lead authors of the Report are Barbara d’Andrea Andreas Maurer Roberta Piermartini and Robert Teh (Economic Research and Statistics Division) and Antonia Carzaniga. Other authors are Marc Auboin Eddy Bekkers John Hancock Kathryn Lundquist José-Antonio Monteiro Coleman Nee Victor Stolzenburg Ankai Xu and Qing Ye (Economic Research and Statistics Division); Pamela Apaza Markus Jelitto Joscelyn Magdeleine Juan Marchetti Martin Roy and Lee Tuthill (Trade in Services and Investment Division); and Rainer Lanz (Development Division).
Un monde de possibilités … et de défis
D’après une étude publiée par le Parlement européen en 2017 la chaîne de blocs pourrait « changer nos vies » (Boucher 2017). Ce que montrent les différentes applications de la chaîne de blocs qui sont mises au point dans des domaines aussi divers que le financement du commerce la facilitation des échanges le commerce des services la propriété intellectuelle et les marchés publics c’est que la chaîne de blocs peut avoir un impact considérable sur les opérateurs commerciaux et sur les organismes gouvernementaux participant au commerce international. Les possibilités sont multiples mais elles ne seront réalisées que si plusieurs défis clés sont relevés.
Foreword
Fifteen years ago 28 WTO members and acceding members overcame numerous political and technical obstacles and agreed to work together for the expansion of trade in information technology (IT) products through the Information Technology Agreement (ITA). This landmark agreement demonstrates not only that developed and developing countries can work together in a mutually beneficial manner but also that the WTO could serve as an effective forum to promote trade opening beyond what was achieved during the Uruguay Round.
Social protection in labour markets exposed to external shocks
Social protection refers to publicly provided safety nets of two kinds. The first type is poverty alleviation measures which help people who are born poor or who lack the productive assets or skills to get out of poverty. The second type consists of social insurance programmes or other labour market interventions that allow people to deal with labour market risk. The focus of this chapter is on the social protection systems of the latter type which protect individuals against the negative consequences of labour market changes caused by external shocks.
Les normes dans le système commercial multilatéral
La présente section traite des textes juridiques et de la jurisprudence de l’OMC qui concernent les normes. Elle commence par un examen des textes eux-mêmes suivi d’un exposé détaillé de quelques-uns des concepts essentiels relatifs aux normes qui figurent dans l’Accord OTC et l’Accord SPS ainsi que dans le GATT de 1994. Ces accords sont ensuite placés dans le contexte de l’analyse économique présentée dans les sections précédentes et l’on se réfère aussi à la jurisprudence qui s’est accumulée au sujet des normes. Comme le sujet concerne les normes de produits on n’examinera que les textes juridiques et la jurisprudence de l’OMC qui se rapportent aux «marchandises». Il importe de noter que l’Accord général sur le commerce des services (AGCS) contient aussi des] dispositions relatives aux normes pour les services notamment aux paragraphes 4 et 5 de l’article VI.
Respuestas de política para aumentar los beneficios que las mujeres obtienen del comercio
En el presente capítulo se examinan las iniciativas relacionadas con el comercio y el empoderamiento económico de las mujeres que llevan a cabo los Gobiernos la sociedad civil el sector privado y las instituciones multilaterales. Se da prioridad a las medidas que podrían ser más eficaces para abrir los mercados a las mujeres y reforzar su capacidad comercial. También se señalan los riesgos que plantea el comercio para las mujeres trabajadoras y se proponen políticas para mitigarlos. El capítulo concluye con un examen de las iniciativas emprendidas por el Banco Mundial y la OMC para abordar la cuestión del comercio y el género.
The macroeconomic implications of WTO accession
This chapter proposes a holistic framework by which acceding governments may evaluate the macroeconomic impact of joining the WTO. Because both acceding governments and WTO members are interested in preserving their own systemic stability and the stability of the multilateral trading system evaluation of the Accession Package can be achieved by examining its impact on the domestic and external stability of the acceding country. The chapter concludes that in the long run the impact should be positive and should be driven by better resource allocation as the acceding economy opens to international trade makes deep structural reforms and aligns its institutions and policies with internationally recognised standards. However in the short term implementation of WTO commitments may lead to substantial adjustment costs in the public and private sectors. Overall the design and implementation of WTO accession commitments is a matter of public policy that should aim to promote systemic stability and accelerate domestic reform while addressing transitional costs.
The globalization of supply chains – policy challenges for developing countries
Global Value Chains (GVCs) represent the dominant form of cross-border economic organization for the production and delivery of goods and services and developing countries have to deal with them to maintain and enhance their participation in the global economy. While GVCs are the product of the significant changes that have taken place in the global economy over the last three decades and market forces largely determine their scope and direction governments still have an important role to play in influencing the nature and terms of participation of their firms. The ongoing expansion of trade in services has added a significant new dimension to GVCs and offers another avenue for developing countries to grow their economies. This paper looks at policy challenges and opportunities that global and regional value chains raise for developing countries and argues that proactive policy measures can improve outcomes for these countries. However GVCs pose particular problems for small poor countries with weak governance structures to maintain and improve their participation in the global trading system. GVCs require a robust multilateral rule-making process in order to enhance their economic and political sustainability.
Offshoring services: Recent developments and prospects
Despite the recovery in the world economy in 2003 and 2004 unemployment remained high in many industrial countries. Even in those countries which reported a strong recovery such as the United States and the United Kingdom employment levels recovered only moderately leading many observers to wonder about a “jobless recovery”. Although employment growth typically lags behind in each cyclical output recovery sluggishness in services sector employment seemed to be a new development. In previous downturns the services sector continued to generate new jobs. The information communications technology (ICT) sector – one of the most dynamic sources of new employment in the 1990s – not only slowed down in terms of job growth but actually experienced a decline in the payroll after the ICT crash in 2000-01. Many dot.com companies and telecom firms closed down or had to downsize as investment outlays in IT hardware and software decreased in OECD countries.
Global value chains and employment in developing economies
The emergence of global value chains – whereby goods that used to be produced within one country are now fragmented and distributed across global networks of production – has offered developing countries new opportunities to integrate into the global economy. This has also had fundamental impacts for workers in developing countries. The chapter shows that higher earnings and employment within sectors and firms is associated with GVC integration which also supports other spillovers that operate through labor markets. But it has also had distributional implications of where jobs go and the types of jobs they are. Jobs growth has occurred directly in the export sector as well as indirectly through linkages of exporting firms to domestic input-supplying firms. Employment creation and wage gains have been biased towards more skilled workers in developing countries which contrasts with the predictions of trade theory. The skill-biased nature of GVC trade is associated with increased complexity of global supply chains as well as increased use of skill-intensive inputs notably services. New emerging trends including automation and digitization may further determine how employment in developing countries will be affected by GVC trade in the future. The findings point to education as well as trade and labor policies as important factors for strengthening the GVC-labor relationship.
La economía cuantitativa en el sistema de solución de diferencias de la omc
El sistema de solución de diferencias de la OMC sigue siendo objeto de gran atención tanto de los profesionales del comercio como de los académicos. Como cabía esperarlo la mayor parte de esos análisis es de carácter jurídico y se refiere a los diversos argumentos planteados por las partes en las diferencias y los fundamentos jurídicos en que se basan las decisiones. Aunque las cuestiones jurídicas y procesales siguen siendo materia propia de los abogados comercialistas se recurre cada vez más a los economistas sobre cuestiones que requieren cuantificación o interpretación económica. Esto no puede causar sorpresa puesto que las normas comerciales multilaterales corresponden a principios económicos fundamentales como el de la ventaja comparativa y muchas de las disposiciones de los Acuerdos de la OMC que tienen importancia para la solución de las diferencias se basan en fundamentos económicos. También puede guardar relación con el hecho de que es cada vez mayor el número de las diferencias que llegan a la etapa de la aplicación de las resoluciones en que los árbitros necesitan cuantificar el nivel admisible de retorsión como se explicará más adelante.
Geographical Indications in the Accessions Landscape
Geographical indications are signs used to identify the origin of goods characterized by a given quality or reputation that is essentially linked to their geographical origin. They preserve traditional knowledge foster the growth of local production and satisfy the needs of increasingly quality-conscious and demanding global consumers. Governments acceding to the World Trade Organization (WTO) have reformed their rules on geographical indications in order to achieve WTO consistency. In doing so they have added value to the multilateral trading system by clarifying the scope of WTO obligations in the field of geographical indications in the following ways: minimum standards of protection; requirements for application to geographical indication protection; the relationship between geographical indications and trademarks; and the scope of substantive provisions with regard to geographical indications. This heightened understanding of the regulation of geographical indications has set new standards in the multilateral trading system. Acceding economies have followed international best practices and sometimes gone a step further by undertaking commitments that exceed those in effect among incumbent WTO members. Rule-making on geographical indications has also helped to prevent disputes on related issues. The lessons learned in the WTO accession process can serve other developing countries and emerging economies to unravel the legal and economic potential of geographical indications.
Competition Policy in WTO Accessions: Filling in the Blanks in the International Trading System
Important synergies and complementarities exist between trade liberalization initiatives and the application of measures to suppress anti-competitive practices or arrangements. Both anti-competitive practices of firms and state-orchestrated arrangements that restrict competition can undermine the gains from trade in myriad ways. Moreover trade liberalization can be a powerful tool for addressing competition policy concerns. Whether there is a need to develop for more explicit linkages between national competition policies and the multilateral trading system remains an unresolved question in debates surrounding the future of the World Trade Organization (WTO). The role of competition policy is however increasingly being addressed by working parties during the accessions of new WTO members. This chapter finds that in a vast majority of accessions the acceding economy is requested to provide information on its domestic competition policy regime. In approximately 80 per cent of all accessions the acceding parties have made notifications on aspects such as the objectives of the regime its enforcement mechanisms by relevant agencies as well as on work under way to put in place an effective competition regime where one is not already extant. This in itself shows a clear recognition and acceptance by WTO members of the importance of competition policy as a tool of economic integration. The complementarity between WTO law and competition policy however is broader than what is reflected in notifications and observations regarding competition legislation per se. Consequently the analysis in this chapter also presents an in-depth study of the wider impact of competition in the WTO accession process taking into account the information provided on aspects of the domestic regime dealing with state monopolies and the treatment of state-owned enterprises (SOEs).
Politique d'innovation, commerce et défi numérique
La présente section porte sur la politique en matière d'innovation et traite des raisons qui la justifient d'un point de vue économique ainsi que de son impact concret. Pour qu'il y ait innovation il faut que de nouvelles connaissances soient créées grâce à l'investissement dans la recherche puis diffusées par le système éducatif ou les publications les brevets et l'échange d'idées. Lorsque des entreprises ou des pouvoirs publics soutiennent le progrès technologique en utilisant ces connaissances ou leur présence dans des inventions pour changer des processus des comportements ou des technologies la croissance économique peut être affectée en fonction de plusieurs paramètres. Dans tous les pays la diffusion des nouvelles technologies dépend des institutions du niveau d'ouverture économique ainsi que de l'investissement dans l'éducation et la recherche.